The Nelkins Index

Nelkins Dubai Market Index

A live, community-level index of estimated true prices, buyer demand and liquidity across Dubai — derived from active listing data, price history and closed-deal signals. Unlike any other Dubai index, we publish our own AI prediction accuracy below. Updated 17 Jul 2026.

Communities Tracked

0

Active inventory ≥ 3

Strongest Demand

Awaiting signals

Median Price Band

Across tracked communities

AI Prediction Accuracy

Maturing

0/30 to publish

Provable forecast accuracy

Accuracy reporting activates once at least 30 predictions have matured to a confirmed won/lost outcome (currently 0). We publish a number only when it is real — we do not estimate or backfill it.

Price-forecast accuracy begins publishing once 20 community forecasts mature (currently 0).

Community Index

0 communities · ranked by demand

The index refreshes continuously. Check back shortly.

How the index is built

Estimated true price

A robust percentile of active price-per-sqft, corrected for systematic price reductions seen in listing history. Confidence rises with sample size and the volume of price-history points.

Demand & liquidity

Demand reflects engagement signals per active listing; liquidity reflects the rate at which listings convert to closed deals. Both are 0–100 scores normalised across the platform.

Prediction accuracy

Every deal-conversion prediction is logged before its outcome is known, then graded directionally against the confirmed won/lost result. We publish the figure only once 30 predictions have matured.

Data Governance & Disclosure

Data Source

Live Nelkins listing database, price history, and closed-deal signals. Prices reflect listed (not transacted) values unless stated. Refreshed continuously.

Methodology

Index scores are model-derived and aggregate across the platform. They are starting points for analysis, not unit-level valuations.

Risk Notice

This index is NOT financial or investment advice and does not guarantee future returns. Consult a RERA-registered advisor before any property decision.